Thoughts on Equal Pay Day

A friend posted this on Facebook and one of her friends wondered about the figures.

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I replied with this lengthy comment (edited to provide clarity), which is not meant to be controversial, but may induce controversy:

These are the gross numbers if you just take averages across populations. All of the econometric work I’ve seen suggests that if you adjust for race, education, work experience, and IQ the gap narrows to somewhere between 90 and 96 cents (this econometric work is conducted by both women and men.). That’s good new right? The gap is less than we traditionally believe and that means progress is greater than we traditionally believe, even if there is work left to be done. But when I see this pointed out in various articles, such as a Slate article I read a few months back, the response is, “there’s still a gap.” Well, yes the measured gap still exists (and for the sake of argument let’s assume things are measured correctly), but income differences are still substantially better than you thought. Can’t we celebrate progress and acknowledge ongoing challenges simultaneously? For whatever reason it seems the conversation has gotten so bad (vitriolic? woman-hating? epistemically biased?) that celebrating progress is seen by women as a threat that progress will cease rather than acknowledgment that strides are being made.

In some fields, especially medical fields, men are paid less than women even on average. Probably because women are better people than men, or at least have a reputation for being more empathetic, which lends itself to certain professions. (Some economists have suggested that women will be the beneficiaries of the coming automation revolution as people skills will become ever more scarce and valuable).

You might be tempted to say that men are genetically better positioned for “traditional” white collar jobs because of their aggressiveness and competitiveness, but at least some of this difference is socialized; when researchers have played competitiveness games in matriarchal societies women have scored significantly higher than the men. There is perhaps no easy solution to this problem. It’s unclear that women should be socialized for competitiveness simply so they can be better at traditional white collar employment, which emerged largely at the hands of white men. On the other hand, making the workplace less competitive — even if it is normatively the “correct” approach — is a difficult task. It seems to me competitive and cutthroat environments can be good for productivity and innovation even if they aren’t for everyone (man or woman).

Of course the perfect test of discrimination would be to compare the same people randomizing their sex, unfortunately (fortunately?) that isn’t possible. However, there have been studies where researchers have sent out the same resume with traditionally male and female names and men are more likely to receive an interview. Perhaps surprisingly this holds when women are the hiring manager so the discrimination is not always so easy to identify. The same penalty occurs with traditionally black names on resumes. To me this is much stronger evidence of discrimination than gross differences in pay.

The big thing that hurts women is childbirth. Women have a hard time fighting back and income gaps seem to persist for long after the children are born. And you can imagine that at least as traditional household matters break down, women that are the same age as their male counterparts tend to have less work experience after the age of, say 30 or 35, because they spend more time taking care of children. I would like to see the income argument shift from these raw numbers which I think oversimplify the problem and aren’t so useful at any rate, and toward more targeted discussion of specific policies related to helping women better “withstand” childbirth and its ongoing responsibilities career wise. Of course maternity leave gets talked about a lot, but we probably need to have a deeper, more robust conversation policy wise (and culturally) about how to help. A first step might be helping men to understand the tremendous monetary burden women endure when taking care of children. It is not simply that they forgo income for a year or two when the child is young and they stay home. On average that lost income never comes back. If childbirth accounts for 80% (or whatever) of the true income gap after sensible adjustments to education, experience, and aptitude, it seems a good place to start a policy and cultural conversation rather than pointing to a misleading figure about income differences; the latter is less actionable.

There are also probably other areas where gaps can be narrowed beginning even earlier, such as during education. Roland Fryer has done interesting work here. Even simple things like priming minority students before tests with encouraging words can help them perform better so there is possibly at least some low hanging fruit as grades often translate into opportunities later on. Of course there is lots of work in early childhood education. Differences in education, especially between whites and low-income minorities, certainly play some part in income differences later in life so closing the education gap could be beneficial.

At any rate I don’t think it’s correct to say that the current state of gendered income disparity is “old-fashioned sexism.” It may be new-fashioned sexism, but that probably requires a different conversation and response.

Where to Rank the UConn Women in Terms of Dominance

Unless a miracle occurs the UConn Women’s Basketball team will soon win their fourth championship in a row in an undefeated season when they beat Syracuse on Tuesday night. This will be their sixth championship since 2009. If they lose it will be one of the greatest upsets in the history of team sports.

Where does their recent dominance rank in the all-time history of sports? I put together this short survey.

The UNC women’s soccer team is — as far as I know — the most dominate team in the history of sports, collegiate or professional (at least in the U.S.), Harlem Globetrotters aside. They’ve been consistently dominate now for three decades and won 22 of the 36 NCAA National Championships. Of course U.S. women’s professional soccer has also been dominate the past 15 years with numerous World Cup and Olympic gold medal wins as well as being ranked No. 1 continuously from March 2008 to December 2014. En Espana, Barcelona has created a dominant European futbol team.

The UCLA men’s basketball team of the 1960s and 1970s won seven straight national titles under the famous John Wooden. The Iowa Hawkeyes men’s wrestling team also had an amazing run of dominance, especially throughout the 1990s. My alma matter, the University of Washington, has won five consecutive national crew championship in the men’s varsity eight. Jointly, the University of Minnesota and University of Minnesota Duluth have been dominating Women’s Ice Hockey since 2001, winning a combined 10 National Championships.

The University of Arkansas won eight consecutive national Track & Field Championships on the men’s side throughout the 1990s, while the LSU women won 11 championships in a row in the ’80s and ’90s (wow!). Swimming and diving national championships seem to come in bundles. Since 1937 only 13 different men’s teams have won national championships and many were back to back or three-peats. The women’s side is equally streaky. By the way, there are quite a few schools with swimming and diving programs.

Of course Alabama’s football team has been quite successful over the past seven years, winning four FBS championships in a rather competitive sport that has recently instituted a playoff system (Alabama has won one out of two of those).

What I’ve listed so far have been Division I-A programs only. Certainly some smaller college programs have seen dominance. And of course there are dominant high school teams as well. St. Anthony’s in New Jersey has won 27 boys’s basketball state titles in the past 39 years, for instance. Maryville Tennessee’s high school football team has gone 145-5 and won seven state titles in recent memory. Cheryl Miller, perhaps the greatest female basketball player of all time (and yes, brother of Reggie Miller), led her high school team to a record of 132-4 from ’78-’82 and along the road scored 105 points in a single game. Reggie Miller often recalls the night he found out about his sister’s scoring outburst. He had just scored 39 points and was pretty proud of himself until his sister reported back that she had more than doubled that total. I recall hearing about several boy’s wrestling champions with perfect high school careers. Here is one example.

A number of professional teams have had long periods of dominance. Chinese women’s diving has been extremely dominant recentlyThe New York Baseball Yankees have won 27 World Championships and 40 American League pennants over the past 100 years, with many of these coming over the 45-year period between 1920 and 1965. I’m aware that Russian hockey and gymnastics teams were quite great in their prime, perhaps still so.

The Boston Celtics won eight straight World Championships throughout the 1960s, helping Bill Russell win a total of 11 championship rings during his career. Indeed, Bill Russell is sometimes considered the greatest winner in the history of team sports and as such when LeBron James left Russell off of his theoretical “Mount Rushmore of the NBA” Russell was able to respond with this amazing quote regarding his own athletic success:

Hey, thank you for leaving me off your Mount Rushmore. I’m glad you did. Basketball is a team game, it’s not for individual honors. I won back-to-back state championships in high school, back-to-back NCAA championships in college. I won an NBA championship my first year in the league, an NBA championship in my last year, and nine in between. That, Mr. James, is etched in stone.

Individual athletics has also seen sportsmen and women that have been consistently dominant. Tiger Woods, Usain Bolt, Sean White, and Michael Phelps have all had multi-year stretches of dominance in recent memory. At least one of them was just featured in an inspiring commercial. Of course there were many dominant athletes in each of these sports before the current incarnations (Jack Nicklaus, Carl Lewis, Mark Spitz).  Eric Heiden won five speed skating medals in the Lake Placid Olympics, starting with the 500 meters and ending with the 10,000 meters. I once watched a documentary in which this feat was compared with a single athlete winning both the 100 meter dash and the mile. Tony Hawk helped usher in skateboarding as a professional sport and was dominant while doing so. Chris Sharma did the same with rock climbing. Rich Froning Jr. has had early success in the burgeoning activity of crossfit as a sport, winning the title of “Fittest Man on Earth” four times since 2011.

Anderson Silva had a long run of dominance in MMA and you’ve certainly heard of some of boxing’s all-time greats. Ronda Rousey garnered fame for her win streak until she was beaten just this year; she also appeared in the horrible movie version of HBO’s Entourage, though I liked her performance. If you’ve ever been to the ballet you know it can be extremely athletic. How’s that for an inspirational commercial? Perhaps it’s time we consider ballet a sport?

And then there is this horse.

Tennis has a history of dominant players including two current players: Novak Djokovic and Serena Williams. Serena is already generally considered the best female player of all time and Novak may end up the greatest men’s player before his career is over. Previous generations included Steffi Graf, Martina Navratilova, Roger Federer, Pete Sampras, and many others. Each was extremely dominant during their prime. For example, during his prime Roger Federer held the Number 1 position for 302 consecutive weeks, reached 23 consecutive Grand Slam tournament semifinals and won five consecutive times both at Wimbledon and the US Open and three out of four at the Australian open.

Perhaps a dark-horse contender for most dominate athlete is Kelly Slater, the American professional surfer who won five consecutive titles from ’94 to ’98. There are a number of articles suggesting he may be the greatest male athlete of all time. He won his first title at age 20 and his last at age 39 (and he’s still surfing competitively!). Talk about longevity. Imagine if Kobe Bryant was leading the Lakers to a title this year or if Peyton Manning had been truly great in the Bronco’s Super Win and you have some idea of what Kelly Slater has accomplished. (Yes, I realize surfing is a non-contact sport. Or is it?).

What have I forgotten? Surely there must be a lot. Certainly, this list is too U.S. centric.

But back to the question at hand. There have been many conversations about whether the UConn women’s dominance is bad for women’s college basketball. It has been suggested by some that this is a sexist argument, but I disagree. If Kentucky’s men’s basketball team was on the verge of winning its fourth straight NCAA tournament there would certainly be discussion about their dominance, perhaps around allegations of illegal recruiting or steroid use or at the very least a discussion about reforming the current one-and-done system.

And the question of whether a team can be too dominate is not new. Indeed, many professional sports are structured specifically to provide — or at least attempt to provide — equity among smaller and larger markets. Think of the draft or salary caps. Of course, in individual sports we fear dominance less because we know natural aging will create a new wave of competition in a few years time, or if we’re talking about individual college sports the athlete will simply graduate.

But we also understand that long-term equilibrium can occur where success begets success. College players, shamefully, are not paid in dollars so the next best thing is to be paid in wins. UConn seems to be the central bank in that category.

On the other hand — and as the list above eludes to — dominance is not unique to the UConn women. In fact, in the grand scheme of things they aren’t so dominate after all. But in some sports we’re use to seeing new champions more often than in others, if only because most people in the U.S. only follow the big four. We’re use to seeing new men’s champions every year to be sure, even if they’re all generally from the same group of ten or twenty teams year after year. So it really stands out when the same women’s team wins repeatedly regardless of where they stand in the broader historical spectrum.

The best thing, it seems, would be for Syracuse to beat UConn and put the whole matter to rest.